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The Missing Link



From: Gale Greenlee (greenlee@fone.net)
Date: Tue Jun 11 2002 - 17:04:38 EDT

  • Next message: Colleen Keirn: "[Teacher-Talkmissinglink] oak trees and such"

    Re: probability puzzlesforwarding at the suggestion of Alison


    ----- Original Message -----
    From: Alison Reid
    To: Gale Greenlee
    Sent: Tuesday, June 11, 2002 2:35 PM
    Subject: Re: probability puzzles

    Hi again Gale,

    Actually, could your resend your post to Teacher-Talkmissinglink@learner.org? Or if you'd like, I'll send it on for you, but if I do it will look like it's coming from my address instead of yours.

    Interesting problem, by the way!


          Hello: I wanted to discuss the various methods used to solve the following puzzle. So to start the discussion I will present the puzzle and then discuss the solution with anyone who is interested. Here goes.

      "Salesmen lie 4/7 of the time. We pick a tree in the forest, at random, and ask the salesmen (three of them) to tell us what kind of a tree it is. All three agree that it is an oak. The probability the tree is an oak is 9/73. What portion of the trees are oaks?"


      ----- Original Message -----
      From: Alison Reid
      To: Gale Greenlee
      Sent: Tuesday, June 11, 2002 1:43 PM
      Subject: Re: probability puzzles

      Dear Gale,

      Sure, go ahead! Anything of interest to math teachers is fine for this forum.

      Alison Reid
      Teacher-Talkmissinglink Administrator

        would it be appropriate to pose a question about a probability puzzle?

      Alison Reid
      Web Specialist
      Harvard-Smithsonian CfA
      60 Garden St., MS82
      Cambridge, MA 02138
      Tel: 617-496-7680


    ----------------------------------- Alison Reid Web Specialist Harvard-Smithsonian CfA 60 Garden St., MS82 Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617-496-7680

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